- 5 days
- +0.6%
- From 52-wk high
- −5.6%
- vs 200-day
- +13.5%
- RSI 14
- 57.1
- 1 month
- +8.8%
- Next earnings
- –
Daily candles, 6 months
Today vs its past
Its current slide on top of its past 15%+ slides, and what followed charts that looked like today's.
| Next N sessions up | n | 5 | 10 | 20 | Median 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Own lookalikes | 2 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 50.0% | +2.7% |
| 50-stock pool | 224 | 59.4% | 52.7% | 60.7% | +2.4% |
| Baseline (any day) | all | 50.8% | 53.5% | 52.5% | +0.8% |
- UNH's 3 rally runs since Nov 2024 started from -61% to -26% below the high, RSI 24-31. Today: -6%, RSI 57.
- Only 2 lookalikes in its own history, so the large-cap pool carries the read. That pool mixes in other stocks.
7%+ one-day drops since Nov 2024
| Date | Drop | QQQ | Kind | Cause | Low after | Sessions to low | Back in |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2025 | −7.2% | −2.1% | −8.1% | 1 | 18 | ||
| Apr 17, 2025 | −22.4% | −0.0% | −59.1% | 72 | not yet | ||
| May 13, 2025 | −17.8% | +1.5% | −36.8% | 55 | 242 | ||
| Jul 29, 2025 | −7.5% | −0.2% | −15.7% | 3 | 14 | ||
| Jan 27, 2026 | −19.6% | +0.9% | −25.8% | 42 | 60 |
7%+ up days and rally runs
| Date | Gain | QQQ | Setup before | Cause | Next 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 19, 2025 | +8.2% | +0.1% | -53%, RSI 20 | −1.5% | |
| Aug 15, 2025 | +12.0% | −0.4% | -56%, RSI 50 | +15.2% | |
| Sep 9, 2025 | +8.6% | +0.3% | -48%, RSI 68 | +5.2% | |
| Apr 7, 2026 | +9.4% | +0.0% | -52%, RSI 53 | +18.2% |
Rally runs (20%+ from a low)
| Low | High | Gain | Sessions | From high at low | RSI at low |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2025 | Apr 11, 2025 | +30.4% | 34 | −25.9% | 27 |
| Aug 1, 2025 | Oct 8, 2025 | +56.6% | 47 | −61.4% | 24 |
| Mar 27, 2026 | Jul 21, 2026 | +69.4% | 78 | −55.6% | 31 |
Calls on UNH and what followed
Live = saved on the day. Backfill = the same rule re-run on past weeks with only the data known then.
| Date | Kind | Call | From high | RSI | Next 5 | Next 20 | vs SPY 20 | Worst in 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2026 | live | No clear edge | −5.6% | 57 | – | – | – | – |
| Oct 30, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −6.2% | 56 | – | – | – | −1.6% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −3.6% | 66 | −2.7% | – | – | −4.2% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −7.4% | 63 | +4.2% | – | – | −0.2% |
| Oct 9, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −12.5% | 50 | +5.8% | – | – | −0.4% |
| Oct 2, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −14.2% | 41 | +2.0% | +9.4% | +11.2% | −0.3% |
| Sep 25, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −13.2% | 41 | −1.2% | +11.0% | +12.5% | −3.0% |
| Sep 18, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −13.1% | 39 | −0.1% | +6.5% | +6.3% | −3.1% |
| Sep 11, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −13.1% | 36 | +0.0% | +0.7% | −1.4% | −3.1% |
| Sep 4, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −9.0% | 47 | −2.8% | −4.1% | −4.9% | −7.5% |
| Aug 28, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −9.9% | 42 | +1.1% | −3.3% | −3.0% | −4.9% |
| Aug 21, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −10.6% | 38 | +0.7% | −2.6% | −3.9% | −3.2% |
| Aug 14, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −7.9% | 42 | −2.9% | −3.9% | −1.9% | −5.6% |
| Aug 7, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −6.7% | 44 | −1.3% | −2.4% | −2.0% | −5.5% |
| Jul 31, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −5.0% | 47 | −1.8% | −5.2% | −8.2% | −7.1% |
| Jul 24, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −3.6% | 52 | −1.5% | −7.3% | −10.9% | −8.5% |
| Jul 17, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −1.3% | 58 | −1.3% | −5.7% | −10.2% | −6.3% |
| Jul 10, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −1.6% | 59 | +0.3% | −4.1% | −6.6% | −4.9% |
| Jul 2, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −0.6% | 65 | −0.2% | −2.6% | −2.9% | −2.6% |
| Jun 26, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | +0.0% | 72 | −2.3% | −2.4% | −3.8% | −2.9% |
| Jun 18, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −2.5% | 60 | +6.7% | +5.1% | +5.8% | +1.2% |
| Jun 12, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −1.1% | 68 | +0.1% | +4.7% | +3.1% | −1.6% |
| Jun 5, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −0.4% | 68 | +2.3% | +7.8% | +6.2% | +0.6% |
| May 29, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −5.2% | 58 | +5.0% | +11.0% | +12.8% | −0.9% |
| May 22, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −3.2% | 68 | −2.2% | +6.0% | +7.3% | −3.0% |
| May 15, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −1.8% | 77 | −1.4% | +5.0% | +2.8% | −4.3% |
| May 8, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | +0.0% | 80 | +3.7% | +7.0% | +6.8% | −0.8% |
| May 1, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −6.3% | 83 | +3.0% | +3.0% | −2.3% | −1.3% |
| Apr 24, 2026 | backfill | Too few lookalikes | −14.0% | 82 | +3.9% | +9.5% | +5.0% | −0.1% |
| Apr 17, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −42.9% | 73 | +9.3% | +21.3% | +17.2% | −0.4% |
| Apr 10, 2026 | backfill | Leans drop | −47.8% | 64 | +6.7% | +24.9% | +16.3% | +2.8% |
| Apr 2, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −52.4% | 49 | +9.8% | +33.0% | +23.1% | +1.5% |
| Mar 27, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −55.6% | 31 | +8.6% | +36.9% | +24.1% | +1.1% |
| Mar 20, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −52.7% | 41 | −6.0% | +17.4% | +8.1% | −6.0% |
| Mar 13, 2026 | backfill | Leans drop | −51.6% | 45 | −2.3% | +11.0% | +7.1% | −8.2% |
| Mar 6, 2026 | backfill | Leans drop | −51.2% | 45 | −0.8% | −1.0% | +0.7% | −8.9% |
| Feb 27, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −50.1% | 49 | −2.3% | −11.0% | −3.7% | −11.0% |
| Feb 20, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −50.6% | 44 | +1.1% | −4.2% | +1.4% | −5.5% |
| Feb 13, 2026 | backfill | Leans drop | −50.1% | 45 | −3.7% | −1.9% | −0.0% | −6.6% |
| Feb 6, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −52.9% | 33 | +6.0% | +3.9% | +5.7% | −1.2% |
| Jan 30, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −51.2% | 32 | −3.6% | +2.8% | +3.6% | −6.4% |
| Jan 23, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −39.4% | 64 | −19.5% | −20.7% | −19.8% | −24.6% |
| Jan 16, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −43.7% | 47 | +6.2% | −12.7% | −11.4% | −18.9% |
| Jan 9, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −41.5% | 58 | −3.8% | −19.8% | −19.8% | −21.9% |
| Jan 2, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −42.7% | 56 | +2.3% | −15.1% | −16.9% | −16.0% |
| Dec 26, 2025 | backfill | No clear edge | −43.5% | 52 | +3.1% | −14.8% | −15.6% | −14.8% |
| Dec 19, 2025 | backfill | No clear edge | −44.3% | 48 | +0.5% | +6.2% | +5.5% | −0.8% |
| Dec 12, 2025 | backfill | Leans rally | −41.8% | 59 | −4.2% | −2.3% | −4.4% | −5.0% |
| Dec 5, 2025 | backfill | No clear edge | −44.6% | 50 | +4.0% | +6.2% | +5.0% | −1.6% |
| Nov 28, 2025 | backfill | Leans rally | −44.8% | 49 | +0.3% | +0.4% | −0.5% | −2.0% |
| Nov 21, 2025 | backfill | Leans rally | −46.5% | 41 | +1.0% | +2.3% | −1.9% | −0.3% |
| Nov 14, 2025 | backfill | Leans rally | −46.2% | 37 | −0.6% | +6.7% | +5.4% | −4.0% |
| Nov 7, 2025 | backfill | Leans rally | −47.0% | 32 | −0.7% | +0.5% | −1.4% | −4.7% |