- 5 days
- +11.9%
- From 52-wk high
- −7.1%
- vs 200-day
- +7.6%
- RSI 14
- 74.5
- 1 month
- +24.0%
- Next earnings
- –
Daily candles, 6 months
Today vs its past
Its current slide on top of its past 15%+ slides, and what followed charts that looked like today's.
| Next N sessions up | n | 5 | 10 | 20 | Median 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Own lookalikes | 2 | 100.0% | 50.0% | 100.0% | +3.9% |
| 50-stock pool | 95 | 62.1% | 57.9% | 73.7% | +3.7% |
| Baseline (any day) | all | 47.3% | 45.2% | 47.3% | −0.5% |
- HD's 3 rally runs since Nov 2024 started from -29% to -22% below the high, RSI 26-31. Today: -7%, RSI 74.
- Only 2 lookalikes in its own history, so the large-cap pool carries the read. That pool mixes in other stocks.
7%+ one-day drops since Nov 2024
None.
7%+ up days and rally runs
No 7%+ up days.
Rally runs (20%+ from a low)
| Low | High | Gain | Sessions | From high at low | RSI at low |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2025 | Sep 11, 2025 | +27.8% | 107 | −21.8% | 31 |
| May 15, 2026 | Jul 2, 2026 | +21.2% | 32 | −28.8% | 30 |
| Oct 5, 2026 | Nov 4, 2026 (ongoing) | +26.4% | 22 | −26.8% | 26 |
Calls on HD and what followed
Live = saved on the day. Backfill = the same rule re-run on past weeks with only the data known then.
| Date | Kind | Call | From high | RSI | Next 5 | Next 20 | vs SPY 20 | Worst in 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2026 | live | Leans rally | −7.1% | 74 | – | – | – | – |
| Oct 30, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −14.0% | 68 | – | – | – | +1.4% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −16.4% | 63 | +2.9% | – | – | −0.7% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −19.1% | 60 | +3.3% | – | – | +0.1% |
| Oct 9, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −24.0% | 42 | +6.5% | – | – | −0.0% |
| Oct 2, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −26.4% | 26 | +2.8% | +16.4% | +18.2% | −0.6% |
| Sep 25, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −26.5% | 32 | −3.5% | +9.1% | +10.6% | −4.1% |
| Sep 18, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −26.1% | 30 | −2.3% | +3.2% | +3.0% | −6.3% |
| Sep 11, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −25.0% | 34 | −2.8% | −5.8% | −8.0% | −8.9% |
| Sep 4, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −22.0% | 40 | −3.2% | −12.4% | −13.3% | −12.4% |
| Aug 28, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −20.4% | 42 | −2.1% | −11.6% | −11.3% | −11.6% |
| Aug 21, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −19.1% | 46 | −1.6% | −10.8% | −12.1% | −10.8% |
| Aug 14, 2026 | backfill | Leans drop | −18.3% | 48 | −1.0% | −7.6% | −5.6% | −9.1% |
| Aug 7, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −14.3% | 61 | −4.7% | −9.1% | −8.7% | −10.4% |
| Jul 31, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −20.0% | 47 | +7.1% | −0.5% | −3.5% | −1.0% |
| Jul 24, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −19.7% | 48 | −0.3% | +0.8% | −2.8% | −0.3% |
| Jul 17, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −18.3% | 51 | −1.7% | −0.0% | −4.4% | −4.2% |
| Jul 10, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −17.2% | 56 | −1.3% | +3.6% | +1.2% | −5.4% |
| Jul 2, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −13.7% | 70 | −4.1% | −7.2% | −7.5% | −9.3% |
| Jun 26, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −15.9% | 67 | +0.5% | −3.7% | −5.0% | −6.9% |
| Jun 18, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −19.4% | 62 | +4.4% | −0.4% | +0.3% | −2.9% |
| Jun 12, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −20.8% | 62 | −0.5% | +2.8% | +1.2% | −1.2% |
| Jun 5, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −25.1% | 47 | +5.7% | +11.1% | +9.4% | −0.3% |
| May 29, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −24.1% | 49 | −1.3% | +11.4% | +13.2% | −2.0% |
| May 22, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −25.1% | 46 | −0.8% | +4.4% | +5.8% | −0.8% |
| May 15, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −28.8% | 30 | +5.2% | +11.7% | +9.6% | +0.8% |
| May 8, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −24.0% | 40 | −6.3% | −1.7% | −1.9% | −6.3% |
| May 1, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −22.5% | 40 | −2.0% | −4.1% | −9.3% | −8.1% |
| Apr 24, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −19.6% | 46 | −3.6% | −6.8% | −11.2% | −11.4% |
| Apr 17, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −16.4% | 57 | −3.9% | −14.9% | −18.9% | −14.9% |
| Apr 10, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −19.3% | 49 | +3.6% | −5.9% | −14.5% | −7.4% |
| Apr 2, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −23.0% | 34 | +4.9% | +0.7% | −9.2% | −0.9% |
| Mar 27, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −23.0% | 30 | +1.6% | +3.3% | −9.5% | −0.9% |
| Mar 20, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −23.2% | 23 | +0.3% | +9.4% | +0.2% | −0.6% |
| Mar 13, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −18.9% | 29 | −5.4% | +0.6% | −3.2% | −6.0% |
| Mar 6, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −14.9% | 36 | −4.6% | −8.1% | −6.4% | −9.8% |
| Feb 27, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −9.5% | 52 | −6.0% | −15.0% | −7.6% | −15.2% |
| Feb 20, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −9.1% | 53 | −0.4% | −15.5% | −9.9% | −15.5% |
| Feb 13, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −7.0% | 63 | −3.6% | −11.8% | −9.9% | −12.7% |
| Feb 6, 2026 | backfill | Leans drop | −8.4% | 61 | +1.5% | −8.2% | −6.4% | −8.2% |
| Jan 30, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −11.0% | 55 | +2.8% | −1.0% | −0.2% | −1.0% |
| Jan 23, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −8.8% | 66 | −2.4% | −1.8% | −0.8% | −3.1% |
| Jan 16, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −9.6% | 69 | +1.7% | +0.8% | +2.0% | −2.2% |
| Jan 9, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −10.9% | 68 | +1.5% | +1.7% | +1.7% | −0.8% |
| Jan 2, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −17.8% | 44 | +8.3% | +9.3% | +7.5% | −0.5% |
| Dec 26, 2025 | backfill | No clear edge | −16.9% | 46 | −1.6% | +8.7% | +8.0% | −1.6% |
| Dec 19, 2025 | backfill | No clear edge | −18.0% | 41 | +0.7% | +11.5% | +10.8% | −0.3% |
| Dec 12, 2025 | backfill | Leans rally | −14.5% | 52 | −4.1% | +5.6% | +3.5% | −4.3% |
| Dec 5, 2025 | backfill | No clear edge | −15.7% | 47 | +1.4% | −1.5% | −2.7% | −3.0% |
| Nov 28, 2025 | backfill | Leans drop | −15.7% | 45 | −0.0% | −2.0% | −3.0% | −2.7% |
| Nov 21, 2025 | backfill | Leans rally | −19.0% | 30 | +4.1% | +1.5% | −2.7% | −2.0% |
| Nov 14, 2025 | backfill | No clear edge | −14.5% | 30 | −5.3% | −0.8% | −2.2% | −8.3% |
| Nov 7, 2025 | backfill | No clear edge | −12.4% | 34 | −2.4% | −5.1% | −7.0% | −10.4% |