- 5 days
- −24.6%
- From 52-wk high
- −36.6%
- vs 200-day
- +11.3%
- RSI 14
- 31.3
- 1 month
- −35.0%
- Next earnings
- Tue Nov 24
Daily candles, 6 months
Today vs its past
Its current slide on top of its past 15%+ slides, and what followed charts that looked like today's.
| Next N sessions up | n | 5 | 10 | 20 | Median 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Own lookalikes | 0 | – | – | – | – |
| 50-stock pool | 4 | 25.0% | 25.0% | 50.0% | +0.3% |
| Baseline (any day) | all | 57.3% | 60.0% | 58.7% | +4.2% |
- DELL's 5 rally runs since Nov 2024 started from -60% to -21% below the high, RSI 25-60. Today: -37%, RSI 31.
- No lookalikes in its own two-year history: today's chart is outside its range. The chart shows other large caps' lookalikes instead.
- Part of the chip unwind: see the chip-index overlay. Past major chip slides took about 190-200 sessions to bottom.
Latest shock vs similar shocks
7%+ one-day drops since Nov 2024
| Date | Drop | QQQ | Kind | Cause | Low after | Sessions to low | Back in |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2024 | −12.2% | −0.8% | −49.3% | 86 | 175 | ||
| Jan 27, 2025 | −8.7% | −2.9% | −12.0% | 5 | 15 | ||
| Mar 3, 2025 | −7.0% | −2.2% | −30.3% | 24 | 50 | ||
| Apr 3, 2025 | −19.0% | −5.4% | −24.9% | 1 | 16 | ||
| Aug 29, 2025 | −8.9% | −1.2% | −9.8% | 1 | 16 | ||
| Nov 17, 2025 | −8.4% | −0.9% | −12.2% | 3 | 11 | ||
| Jan 20, 2026 | −7.4% | −2.1% | −7.4% | 0 | 12 | ||
| Feb 12, 2026 | −9.1% | −2.0% | −9.1% | 0 | 11 | ||
| Jul 15, 2026 | −9.8% | −0.3% | −19.1% | 10 | 15 | ||
| Oct 14, 2026 | −11.3% | −2.0% | −34.9% | 15 | not yet | ||
| Oct 30, 2026 | −10.8% | −3.5% | −21.7% | 3 | not yet |
7%+ up days and rally runs
| Date | Gain | QQQ | Setup before | Cause | Next 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2025 | +16.0% | +12.0% | -59%, RSI 29 | +15.0% | |
| May 12, 2025 | +7.8% | +4.1% | -46%, RSI 58 | +9.5% | |
| Oct 8, 2025 | +9.1% | +1.1% | 0%, RSI 68 | −7.0% | |
| Feb 27, 2026 | +21.9% | −0.3% | -26%, RSI 52 | +16.0% | |
| Mar 24, 2026 | +7.5% | −0.7% | 0%, RSI 71 | +21.7% | |
| Apr 16, 2026 | +8.9% | +0.5% | -7%, RSI 57 | +28.8% | |
| May 6, 2026 | +10.4% | +2.1% | 0%, RSI 69 | +76.7% | |
| May 8, 2026 | +13.1% | +2.3% | -4%, RSI 69 | +53.9% | |
| May 22, 2026 | +16.8% | +0.4% | -3%, RSI 66 | +44.9% | |
| May 29, 2026 | +32.8% | +0.4% | 0%, RSI 80 | −1.5% | |
| Jun 1, 2026 | +10.7% | +0.6% | 0%, RSI 89 | −7.4% | |
| Jul 14, 2026 | +7.1% | +1.1% | -8%, RSI 57 | −3.5% | |
| Jul 22, 2026 | +9.3% | −0.5% | -13%, RSI 51 | −1.0% | |
| Jul 30, 2026 | +9.5% | +3.3% | -21%, RSI 42 | +16.7% | |
| Aug 4, 2026 | +8.9% | +3.4% | -8%, RSI 55 | −9.0% | |
| Aug 12, 2026 | +9.9% | +0.7% | -6%, RSI 54 | +4.6% | |
| Sep 2, 2026 | +15.8% | +0.2% | -14%, RSI 45 | +10.1% | |
| Sep 11, 2026 | +12.0% | +0.9% | -5%, RSI 58 | +3.3% | |
| Oct 27, 2026 | +7.5% | +1.3% | -21%, RSI 41 | – |
Rally runs (20%+ from a low)
| Low | High | Gain | Sessions | From high at low | RSI at low |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2025 | Feb 19, 2025 | +20.9% | 11 | −43.5% | 33 |
| Apr 4, 2025 | Oct 28, 2025 | +133.4% | 142 | −59.6% | 25 |
| Jan 20, 2026 | Jun 1, 2026 | +320.8% | 91 | −32.3% | 29 |
| Jun 10, 2026 | Jul 14, 2026 | +23.7% | 22 | −20.6% | 60 |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Sep 17, 2026 | +59.2% | 35 | −20.5% | 42 |
Calls on DELL and what followed
Live = saved on the day. Backfill = the same rule re-run on past weeks with only the data known then.
| Date | Kind | Call | From high | RSI | Next 5 | Next 20 | vs SPY 20 | Worst in 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2026 | live | No clear edge | −36.6% | 31 | – | – | – | – |
| Oct 30, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −27.8% | 36 | – | – | – | −12.2% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −22.3% | 38 | −7.0% | – | – | −18.4% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −23.2% | 33 | +1.2% | – | – | −17.5% |
| Oct 9, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −0.4% | 62 | −22.9% | – | – | −36.4% |
| Oct 2, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −4.4% | 58 | +4.2% | −24.5% | −22.7% | −24.5% |
| Sep 25, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −4.3% | 59 | −0.1% | −18.8% | −17.3% | −19.8% |
| Sep 18, 2026 | backfill | Leans drop | −3.5% | 62 | −0.9% | −20.5% | −20.7% | −20.5% |
| Sep 11, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | +0.0% | 67 | +0.1% | +3.3% | +1.2% | −5.8% |
| Sep 4, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | +0.0% | 64 | +1.9% | +5.4% | +4.5% | −3.3% |
| Aug 28, 2026 | backfill | Leans drop | −7.7% | 53 | +14.9% | +19.1% | +19.3% | −6.8% |
| Aug 21, 2026 | backfill | Leans drop | −10.6% | 50 | +3.2% | +30.1% | +28.9% | −3.9% |
| Aug 14, 2026 | backfill | Leans drop | −0.7% | 62 | −9.9% | +8.9% | +10.8% | −13.4% |
| Aug 7, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −2.9% | 57 | +8.2% | +15.5% | +15.9% | −6.3% |
| Jul 31, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −12.9% | 50 | +11.9% | +12.5% | +9.6% | +5.8% |
| Jul 24, 2026 | backfill | Leans drop | −6.0% | 57 | −7.3% | +1.0% | −2.6% | −15.5% |
| Jul 17, 2026 | backfill | Too few lookalikes | −14.9% | 48 | +10.6% | +24.0% | +19.6% | −6.6% |
| Jul 10, 2026 | backfill | Too few lookalikes | −6.7% | 60 | −8.9% | +4.5% | +2.1% | −14.9% |
| Jul 2, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −15.4% | 53 | +10.3% | +3.0% | +2.7% | −6.1% |
| Jun 26, 2026 | backfill | Too few lookalikes | −14.3% | 57 | +3.1% | +7.0% | +5.7% | −4.4% |
| Jun 18, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −12.1% | 64 | −2.4% | −6.7% | −6.1% | −6.7% |
| Jun 12, 2026 | backfill | Too few lookalikes | −15.1% | 64 | +5.8% | +15.7% | +14.0% | −0.3% |
| Jun 5, 2026 | backfill | Too few lookalikes | −15.4% | 68 | +0.3% | +5.8% | +4.2% | −6.2% |
| May 29, 2026 | backfill | Too few lookalikes | +0.0% | 89 | −6.3% | −1.5% | +0.3% | −12.1% |
| May 22, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | +0.0% | 76 | +57.9% | +44.9% | +46.3% | +3.4% |
| May 15, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −7.1% | 63 | +22.0% | +69.0% | +66.9% | −2.8% |
| May 8, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | +0.0% | 78 | −7.1% | +53.9% | +53.7% | −9.7% |
| May 1, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −2.7% | 65 | +23.9% | +121.7% | +116.4% | +0.7% |
| Apr 24, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | +0.0% | 73 | −2.7% | +36.6% | +32.2% | −4.8% |
| Apr 17, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | +0.0% | 67 | +10.3% | +23.5% | +19.4% | +3.9% |
| Apr 10, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −4.1% | 62 | +10.5% | +46.9% | +38.4% | −0.3% |
| Apr 2, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −5.2% | 65 | +2.0% | +20.9% | +11.0% | −0.7% |
| Mar 27, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −6.6% | 66 | +0.8% | +26.1% | +13.3% | −4.5% |
| Mar 20, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −4.0% | 67 | +9.0% | +29.5% | +20.3% | +4.1% |
| Mar 13, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −7.6% | 68 | +4.0% | +25.2% | +21.3% | −1.6% |
| Mar 6, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −10.8% | 65 | +3.5% | +18.2% | +20.0% | −1.8% |
| Feb 27, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −9.8% | 71 | −1.1% | +16.0% | +23.3% | −2.9% |
| Feb 20, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −25.5% | 53 | +21.1% | +29.0% | +34.6% | −2.6% |
| Feb 13, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −28.4% | 47 | +1.4% | +33.2% | +35.1% | −1.2% |
| Feb 6, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −26.3% | 51 | −2.9% | +21.0% | +22.8% | −6.8% |
| Jan 30, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −30.3% | 40 | +5.8% | +34.2% | +35.0% | −1.4% |
| Jan 23, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −29.7% | 39 | −0.9% | +3.2% | +4.2% | −2.3% |
| Jan 16, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −26.9% | 40 | −3.4% | −3.3% | −2.0% | −7.4% |
| Jan 9, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −26.8% | 38 | −0.1% | +0.7% | +0.7% | −7.5% |
| Jan 2, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −22.5% | 45 | −5.6% | −6.4% | −8.1% | −12.7% |
| Dec 26, 2025 | backfill | Leans rally | −21.6% | 45 | −4.0% | −10.9% | −11.6% | −13.7% |
| Dec 19, 2025 | backfill | Leans rally | −23.3% | 41 | +0.8% | −10.0% | −10.7% | −11.8% |
| Dec 12, 2025 | backfill | No clear edge | −21.2% | 42 | −2.7% | −7.9% | −10.0% | −8.8% |
| Dec 5, 2025 | backfill | Leans rally | −15.8% | 53 | −6.4% | −10.8% | −12.0% | −11.5% |
| Nov 28, 2025 | backfill | No clear edge | −19.1% | 46 | +4.2% | −4.4% | −5.4% | −7.8% |
| Nov 21, 2025 | backfill | No clear edge | −25.7% | 32 | +7.8% | +3.3% | −0.9% | +0.4% |
| Nov 14, 2025 | backfill | No clear edge | −18.9% | 34 | −8.4% | −2.4% | −3.7% | −12.2% |
| Nov 7, 2025 | backfill | No clear edge | −11.0% | 44 | −8.8% | −4.3% | −6.2% | −20.0% |