- 5 days
- +4.5%
- From 52-wk high
- −6.3%
- vs 200-day
- +9.2%
- RSI 14
- 59.9
- 1 month
- +3.8%
- Next earnings
- –
Daily candles, 6 months
Today vs its past
Its current slide on top of its past 15%+ slides, and what followed charts that looked like today's.
| Next N sessions up | n | 5 | 10 | 20 | Median 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Own lookalikes | 9 | 44.4% | 33.3% | 55.6% | +2.7% |
| 50-stock pool | 251 | 58.6% | 57.4% | 58.6% | +1.6% |
| Baseline (any day) | all | 52.5% | 52.9% | 56.0% | +1.6% |
- AMZN's 3 rally runs since Nov 2024 started from -31% to -18% below the high, RSI 23-35. Today: -6%, RSI 60.
7%+ one-day drops since Nov 2024
| Date | Drop | QQQ | Kind | Cause | Low after | Sessions to low | Back in |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2025 | −9.0% | −5.4% | Market | "Liberation Day" tariffs. | −14.6% | 11 | 27 |
| Aug 1, 2025 | −8.3% | −2.0% | Earnings | Q2 2025: AWS growth lagged Azure and Google Cloud. | −9.6% | 1 | 24 |
7%+ up days and rally runs
| Date | Gain | QQQ | Setup before | Cause | Next 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2025 | +12.0% | +12.0% | -29%, RSI 30 | 90-day tariff pause (market-wide; QQQ +12%). | +0.5% |
| May 12, 2025 | +8.1% | +4.1% | -20%, RSI 56 | US-China tariff truce. | +4.3% |
| Oct 31, 2025 | +9.6% | +0.5% | -8%, RSI 50 | Q3 2025: AWS growth re-accelerated. | −4.2% |
| Jul 31, 2026 | +15.3% | +0.6% | -14%, RSI 44 | Q2 2026: AWS +37%, fastest growth in 18 quarters. | −1.9% |
Rally runs (20%+ from a low)
| Low | High | Gain | Sessions | From high at low | RSI at low |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2025 | Nov 3, 2025 | +51.8% | 136 | −30.9% | 35 |
| Feb 13, 2026 | May 6, 2026 | +38.3% | 56 | −21.7% | 23 |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Aug 3, 2026 | +25.3% | 3 | −17.6% | 33 |
Calls on AMZN and what followed
Live = saved on the day. Backfill = the same rule re-run on past weeks with only the data known then.
| Date | Kind | Call | From high | RSI | Next 5 | Next 20 | vs SPY 20 | Worst in 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2026 | live | No clear edge | −6.3% | 60 | – | – | – | – |
| Oct 30, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −15.4% | 38 | – | – | – | +2.2% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | backfill | Leans drop | −12.7% | 43 | −3.1% | – | – | −3.1% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −12.0% | 45 | −0.8% | – | – | −3.9% |
| Oct 9, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −7.6% | 59 | −4.7% | – | – | −8.4% |
| Oct 2, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −11.4% | 49 | +4.3% | −4.4% | −2.6% | −4.4% |
| Sep 25, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −12.1% | 44 | +0.7% | −0.7% | +0.8% | −1.4% |
| Sep 18, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −10.7% | 48 | −1.6% | −1.5% | −1.7% | −3.0% |
| Sep 11, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −9.6% | 49 | −1.2% | +2.2% | +0.1% | −4.2% |
| Sep 4, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −9.0% | 50 | −1.9% | −2.8% | −3.6% | −4.9% |
| Aug 28, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −6.2% | 56 | −3.0% | −7.6% | −7.4% | −7.7% |
| Aug 21, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −8.9% | 50 | +3.0% | −0.1% | −1.3% | −4.9% |
| Aug 14, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −7.5% | 54 | −1.5% | −3.5% | −1.5% | −4.1% |
| Aug 7, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −3.4% | 64 | −4.3% | −5.8% | −5.4% | −7.1% |
| Jul 31, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −1.2% | 68 | +1.1% | −1.9% | −4.9% | −5.6% |
| Jul 24, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −15.6% | 38 | +17.0% | +11.4% | +7.8% | −2.4% |
| Jul 17, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −10.1% | 51 | −6.1% | +6.2% | +1.8% | −8.3% |
| Jul 10, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −10.8% | 51 | +0.8% | +11.9% | +9.5% | −7.6% |
| Jul 2, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −11.8% | 49 | +1.1% | +11.9% | +11.6% | −6.6% |
| Jun 26, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −15.4% | 40 | +4.9% | −0.6% | −1.9% | −0.6% |
| Jun 18, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −11.1% | 44 | −4.8% | +2.3% | +2.9% | −7.1% |
| Jun 12, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −13.3% | 35 | −2.4% | +3.7% | +2.1% | −4.8% |
| Jun 5, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −10.5% | 38 | −3.0% | −0.0% | −1.7% | −7.7% |
| May 29, 2026 | backfill | Leans drop | −1.6% | 60 | −9.1% | −11.3% | −9.5% | −16.1% |
| May 22, 2026 | backfill | Leans drop | −3.2% | 58 | −1.9% | −12.1% | −10.7% | −12.6% |
| May 15, 2026 | backfill | Leans drop | −3.9% | 59 | +0.8% | −6.9% | −9.0% | −9.9% |
| May 8, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −0.8% | 75 | −3.1% | −10.1% | −10.3% | −10.1% |
| May 1, 2026 | backfill | Leans drop | +0.0% | 78 | +1.6% | −2.6% | −7.9% | −3.3% |
| Apr 24, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | +0.0% | 80 | +1.6% | +0.9% | −3.6% | −1.8% |
| Apr 17, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −1.4% | 77 | +5.4% | +5.4% | +1.3% | −0.9% |
| Apr 10, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −6.1% | 72 | +5.1% | +14.4% | +5.8% | +0.6% |
| Apr 2, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −17.4% | 50 | +13.6% | +27.9% | +18.0% | +1.4% |
| Mar 27, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −21.5% | 38 | +6.7% | +31.0% | +18.2% | +0.8% |
| Mar 20, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −19.1% | 41 | −2.9% | +20.9% | +11.6% | −2.9% |
| Mar 13, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −18.2% | 41 | −1.1% | +15.5% | +11.6% | −4.0% |
| Mar 6, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −16.1% | 48 | −2.6% | −0.2% | +1.5% | −6.5% |
| Feb 27, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −17.3% | 43 | +1.5% | −5.1% | +2.2% | −5.1% |
| Feb 20, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −17.3% | 39 | −0.1% | −2.3% | +3.4% | −2.3% |
| Feb 13, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −21.7% | 23 | +3.3% | +6.5% | +8.4% | +1.2% |
| Feb 6, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −17.2% | 29 | −5.5% | +1.5% | +3.3% | −5.5% |
| Jan 30, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −5.8% | 53 | −12.1% | −12.9% | −12.1% | −16.9% |
| Jan 23, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −5.8% | 55 | +0.1% | −14.2% | −13.2% | −16.9% |
| Jan 16, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −5.9% | 55 | −0.3% | −15.9% | −14.6% | −16.9% |
| Jan 9, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −2.6% | 69 | −3.3% | −15.6% | −15.6% | −15.6% |
| Jan 2, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −10.8% | 45 | +9.2% | +7.3% | +5.5% | +2.0% |
| Dec 26, 2025 | backfill | Leans rally | −8.5% | 55 | +0.2% | +5.2% | +4.5% | −2.6% |
| Dec 19, 2025 | backfill | No clear edge | −10.5% | 48 | +2.1% | +1.7% | +1.0% | −0.4% |
| Dec 12, 2025 | backfill | No clear edge | −10.9% | 45 | +0.5% | +7.3% | +5.2% | −2.2% |
| Dec 5, 2025 | backfill | No clear edge | −9.6% | 48 | −1.5% | +5.0% | +3.8% | −3.6% |
| Nov 28, 2025 | backfill | Leans rally | −8.2% | 52 | −1.6% | −0.5% | −1.4% | −5.1% |
| Nov 21, 2025 | backfill | No clear edge | −13.1% | 41 | +6.0% | +3.5% | −0.7% | +0.3% |
| Nov 14, 2025 | backfill | Leans rally | −7.6% | 50 | −6.0% | −5.2% | −6.5% | −7.5% |
| Nov 7, 2025 | backfill | No clear edge | −3.8% | 61 | −4.0% | −7.2% | −9.1% | −11.2% |