- 5 days
- −12.8%
- From 52-wk high
- −17.9%
- vs 200-day
- +11.8%
- RSI 14
- 33.5
- 1 month
- −10.6%
- Next earnings
- Mon Feb 1
Daily candles, 6 months
Today vs its past
Its current slide on top of its past 15%+ slides, and what followed charts that looked like today's.
| Next N sessions up | n | 5 | 10 | 20 | Median 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Own lookalikes | 3 | 66.7% | 66.7% | 33.3% | −12.0% |
| 50-stock pool | 62 | 59.7% | 56.5% | 56.5% | +0.7% |
| Baseline (any day) | all | 56.6% | 58.5% | 62.7% | +4.2% |
- PLTR's 8 rally runs since Nov 2024 started from -48% to -18% below the high, RSI 27-41. Today: -18%, RSI 33.
Latest shock vs similar shocks
7%+ one-day drops since Nov 2024
| Date | Drop | QQQ | Kind | Cause | Low after | Sessions to low | Back in |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2025 | −7.8% | −1.8% | −14.4% | 3 | 10 | ||
| Mar 6, 2025 | −10.7% | −2.8% | −15.3% | 2 | 12 | ||
| Apr 4, 2025 | −11.5% | −6.2% | −11.5% | 0 | 4 | ||
| May 6, 2025 | −12.0% | −0.9% | −12.0% | 0 | 6 | ||
| Jun 5, 2025 | −7.8% | −0.8% | −7.8% | 0 | 3 | ||
| Jun 27, 2025 | −9.4% | +0.3% | −9.4% | 2 | 11 | ||
| Aug 19, 2025 | −9.4% | −1.4% | −12.0% | 12 | 22 | ||
| Oct 3, 2025 | −7.5% | −0.4% | −7.5% | 0 | 17 | ||
| Nov 4, 2025 | −7.9% | −2.0% | −48.2% | 159 | 234 | ||
| Feb 4, 2026 | −11.6% | −1.7% | −18.4% | 13 | 33 | ||
| Apr 9, 2026 | −7.3% | +0.7% | −9.0% | 1 | 5 | ||
| Oct 16, 2026 | −7.2% | −2.5% | −7.2% | 0 | 4 |
7%+ up days and rally runs
| Date | Gain | QQQ | Setup before | Cause | Next 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2024 | +23.5% | +1.3% | -8%, RSI 50 | +36.6% | |
| Nov 6, 2024 | +8.6% | +2.7% | 0%, RSI 76 | +29.4% | |
| Nov 15, 2024 | +11.1% | −2.4% | -3%, RSI 77 | +15.2% | |
| Dec 20, 2024 | +8.5% | +0.9% | -3%, RSI 64 | −1.9% | |
| Feb 4, 2025 | +24.0% | +1.2% | 0%, RSI 65 | −13.2% | |
| Feb 6, 2025 | +9.8% | +0.5% | -2%, RSI 76 | −23.7% | |
| Mar 12, 2025 | +7.2% | +1.1% | -37%, RSI 40 | +10.0% | |
| Mar 14, 2025 | +8.3% | +2.4% | -36%, RSI 42 | +2.7% | |
| Apr 9, 2025 | +19.0% | +12.0% | -38%, RSI 41 | +29.5% | |
| Apr 23, 2025 | +7.3% | +2.3% | -25%, RSI 55 | +19.6% | |
| May 8, 2025 | +7.8% | +1.0% | -11%, RSI 56 | +7.2% | |
| May 13, 2025 | +8.1% | +1.5% | -5%, RSI 61 | +6.5% | |
| May 30, 2025 | +7.7% | −0.2% | -6%, RSI 57 | +3.4% | |
| Aug 5, 2025 | +7.8% | −0.7% | 0%, RSI 65 | −10.6% | |
| Nov 10, 2025 | +8.8% | +2.2% | -14%, RSI 45 | −6.1% | |
| May 28, 2026 | +8.2% | +0.8% | -36%, RSI 41 | −21.2% | |
| May 29, 2026 | +9.2% | +0.4% | -31%, RSI 56 | −26.1% | |
| Jul 1, 2026 | +7.8% | −1.5% | -44%, RSI 39 | −2.8% | |
| Jul 27, 2026 | +7.0% | −0.3% | -41%, RSI 42 | +33.7% | |
| Aug 4, 2026 | +29.5% | +3.4% | -39%, RSI 48 | +10.6% | |
| Aug 7, 2026 | +10.3% | +1.2% | -25%, RSI 66 | +1.3% | |
| Sep 3, 2026 | +7.7% | +1.2% | -18%, RSI 52 | +3.4% |
Rally runs (20%+ from a low)
| Low | High | Gain | Sessions | From high at low | RSI at low |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2025 | Feb 18, 2025 | +91.8% | 24 | −21.1% | 39 |
| Mar 10, 2025 | Mar 24, 2025 | +26.7% | 10 | −38.7% | 38 |
| Apr 4, 2025 | Aug 12, 2025 | +152.6% | 88 | −40.6% | 37 |
| Sep 5, 2025 | Nov 3, 2025 | +35.3% | 41 | −18.1% | 41 |
| Nov 21, 2025 | Dec 24, 2025 | +25.4% | 22 | −25.3% | 34 |
| Feb 24, 2026 | Mar 23, 2026 | +24.8% | 19 | −37.8% | 33 |
| Apr 10, 2026 | Jun 1, 2026 | +25.4% | 35 | −38.2% | 34 |
| Jun 25, 2026 | Oct 9, 2026 | +94.9% | 74 | −48.2% | 27 |
Calls on PLTR and what followed
Live = saved on the day. Backfill = the same rule re-run on past weeks with only the data known then.
| Date | Kind | Call | From high | RSI | Next 5 | Next 20 | vs SPY 20 | Worst in 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2026 | live | Leans drop | −17.9% | 34 | – | – | – | – |
| Oct 30, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −11.9% | 42 | – | – | – | −6.7% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −5.9% | 54 | −6.4% | – | – | −12.7% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | backfill | Leans drop | −11.0% | 46 | +5.8% | – | – | −7.7% |
| Oct 9, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | +0.0% | 76 | −11.0% | – | – | −17.9% |
| Oct 2, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −8.9% | 61 | +10.8% | −2.5% | −0.6% | −2.5% |
| Sep 25, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −8.5% | 64 | −0.5% | +3.7% | +5.2% | −1.9% |
| Sep 18, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −14.3% | 57 | +6.8% | +4.7% | +4.5% | +3.1% |
| Sep 11, 2026 | backfill | Leans drop | −19.3% | 49 | +6.2% | +25.0% | +22.9% | +3.2% |
| Sep 4, 2026 | backfill | Leans drop | −15.9% | 54 | −0.6% | +8.6% | +7.8% | −4.9% |
| Aug 28, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −10.1% | 69 | −6.4% | +0.6% | +0.9% | −11.0% |
| Aug 21, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −13.1% | 69 | +3.5% | +1.8% | +0.5% | −7.8% |
| Aug 14, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −16.0% | 68 | +3.4% | −0.4% | +1.6% | −4.7% |
| Aug 7, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −17.0% | 73 | +1.2% | +1.3% | +1.7% | −1.5% |
| Jul 31, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −40.6% | 44 | +39.8% | +51.4% | +48.4% | +2.1% |
| Jul 24, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −40.7% | 42 | +0.1% | +46.4% | +42.8% | −0.5% |
| Jul 17, 2026 | backfill | Leans drop | −36.1% | 53 | −7.1% | +31.5% | +27.0% | −7.6% |
| Jul 10, 2026 | backfill | Leans drop | −38.8% | 48 | +4.4% | +35.7% | +33.2% | −3.6% |
| Jul 2, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −37.6% | 52 | −1.9% | −4.8% | −5.1% | −5.4% |
| Jun 26, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −45.5% | 34 | +17.4% | +16.5% | +15.1% | +2.5% |
| Jun 18, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −38.0% | 41 | −12.1% | +5.0% | +5.6% | −16.5% |
| Jun 12, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −38.2% | 39 | −6.6% | +4.5% | +2.9% | −16.2% |
| Jun 5, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −34.6% | 45 | −5.6% | −0.9% | −2.5% | −20.9% |
| May 29, 2026 | backfill | Leans drop | −24.4% | 67 | −13.4% | −26.1% | −24.3% | −31.5% |
| May 22, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −33.9% | 48 | +17.4% | −14.7% | −13.4% | −14.7% |
| May 15, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −35.3% | 44 | +2.2% | +0.5% | −1.6% | −4.5% |
| May 8, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −33.5% | 46 | −2.8% | −1.0% | −1.2% | −5.6% |
| May 1, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −30.5% | 51 | −4.4% | +11.5% | +6.3% | −9.7% |
| Apr 24, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −30.9% | 49 | +0.7% | −4.3% | −8.8% | −9.1% |
| Apr 17, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −29.3% | 52 | −2.3% | −8.5% | −12.6% | −11.2% |
| Apr 10, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −38.2% | 34 | +14.3% | +7.6% | −1.0% | +3.4% |
| Apr 2, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −28.3% | 50 | −13.7% | −3.0% | −12.8% | −13.7% |
| Mar 27, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −30.9% | 43 | +3.4% | +0.0% | −12.8% | −10.5% |
| Mar 20, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −27.3% | 51 | −5.1% | −3.2% | −12.5% | −15.0% |
| Mar 13, 2026 | backfill | Leans drop | −27.1% | 53 | −0.2% | −12.3% | −16.2% | −15.2% |
| Mar 6, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −24.1% | 61 | −4.0% | −5.9% | −4.1% | −12.5% |
| Feb 27, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −33.8% | 43 | +14.6% | +4.3% | +11.6% | +4.3% |
| Feb 20, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −34.7% | 38 | +1.4% | +11.4% | +17.1% | −4.7% |
| Feb 13, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −36.6% | 34 | −0.6% | +16.2% | +18.1% | −2.0% |
| Feb 6, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −34.4% | 32 | −3.3% | +15.1% | +16.9% | −5.2% |
| Jan 30, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −29.2% | 25 | −7.3% | −1.0% | −0.2% | −12.1% |
| Jan 23, 2026 | backfill | Leans drop | −18.1% | 42 | −13.6% | −23.0% | −22.0% | −23.9% |
| Jan 16, 2026 | backfill | Leans drop | −17.5% | 41 | −2.0% | −22.2% | −20.9% | −24.5% |
| Jan 9, 2026 | backfill | Leans drop | −14.3% | 47 | −3.7% | −19.5% | −19.5% | −26.8% |
| Jan 2, 2026 | backfill | Leans drop | −19.0% | 37 | +5.7% | −12.0% | −13.8% | −12.7% |
| Dec 26, 2025 | backfill | Leans drop | −8.9% | 56 | −7.8% | −12.2% | −12.9% | −12.4% |
| Dec 19, 2025 | backfill | No clear edge | −6.7% | 61 | −4.8% | −14.5% | −15.2% | −14.5% |
| Dec 12, 2025 | backfill | Leans drop | −11.4% | 56 | +5.3% | −2.5% | −4.6% | −8.6% |
| Dec 5, 2025 | backfill | Leans drop | −12.3% | 57 | +1.0% | −1.1% | −2.3% | −7.6% |
| Nov 28, 2025 | backfill | No clear edge | −18.7% | 46 | +7.9% | +9.3% | +8.4% | −0.6% |
| Nov 21, 2025 | backfill | Too few lookalikes | −25.3% | 34 | +8.2% | +25.3% | +21.0% | +4.8% |
| Nov 14, 2025 | backfill | Leans drop | −16.0% | 44 | −11.0% | +5.3% | +4.0% | −11.0% |
| Nov 7, 2025 | backfill | Leans drop | −14.1% | 45 | −2.2% | +2.0% | +0.1% | −13.0% |