- 5 days
- −11.8%
- From 52-wk high
- −17.1%
- vs 200-day
- +27.8%
- RSI 14
- 41.2
- 1 month
- −17.1%
- Next earnings
- Wed Nov 18
Daily candles, 6 months
Today vs its past
Its current slide on top of its past 15%+ slides, and what followed charts that looked like today's.
| Next N sessions up | n | 5 | 10 | 20 | Median 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Own lookalikes | 0 | – | – | – | – |
| 50-stock pool | 23 | 69.6% | 56.5% | 73.9% | +3.3% |
| Baseline (any day) | all | 56.8% | 57.5% | 56.2% | +1.7% |
- PANW's 5 rally runs since Nov 2024 started from -36% to -17% below the high, RSI 24-42. Today: -17%, RSI 41.
- Reports Nov 18. The lookalike stats ignore earnings; the report can swamp them.
- No lookalikes in its own two-year history: today's chart is outside its range. The chart shows other large caps' lookalikes instead.
Latest shock vs similar shocks
7%+ one-day drops since Nov 2024
| Date | Drop | QQQ | Kind | Cause | Low after | Sessions to low | Back in |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2025 | −7.0% | −6.2% | −7.7% | 1 | 4 | ||
| Nov 20, 2025 | −7.4% | −2.4% | −29.1% | 63 | 116 | ||
| Feb 5, 2026 | −7.2% | −1.4% | −7.2% | 0 | 7 | ||
| Sep 2, 2026 | −9.3% | +0.2% | −9.3% | 0 | 8 | ||
| Oct 16, 2026 | −7.6% | −2.5% | −8.1% | 2 | 6 |
7%+ up days and rally runs
| Date | Gain | QQQ | Setup before | Cause | Next 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2025 | +13.4% | +12.0% | -27%, RSI 27 | +9.0% | |
| May 29, 2026 | +9.3% | +0.4% | -1%, RSI 74 | +17.9% | |
| Jun 29, 2026 | +9.1% | +2.5% | 0%, RSI 70 | −3.9% | |
| Aug 27, 2026 | +12.8% | +1.4% | -14%, RSI 44 | −2.1% | |
| Sep 14, 2026 | +13.1% | −0.8% | -17%, RSI 43 | +8.0% | |
| Oct 23, 2026 | +7.2% | −0.0% | -15%, RSI 43 | – |
Rally runs (20%+ from a low)
| Low | High | Gain | Sessions | From high at low | RSI at low |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2025 | Feb 18, 2025 | +24.1% | 24 | −17.3% | 27 |
| Apr 7, 2025 | Jul 9, 2025 | +35.2% | 63 | −26.8% | 27 |
| Aug 8, 2025 | Oct 28, 2025 | +32.5% | 56 | −19.8% | 30 |
| Feb 24, 2026 | Aug 13, 2026 | +179.5% | 118 | −36.0% | 24 |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Oct 6, 2026 | +27.8% | 23 | −17.1% | 42 |
Calls on PANW and what followed
Live = saved on the day. Backfill = the same rule re-run on past weeks with only the data known then.
| Date | Kind | Call | From high | RSI | Next 5 | Next 20 | vs SPY 20 | Worst in 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2026 | live | Leans rally | −17.1% | 41 | – | – | – | – |
| Oct 30, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −12.9% | 46 | – | – | – | −4.9% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −9.4% | 52 | −3.9% | – | – | −8.5% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −18.6% | 37 | +11.3% | – | – | −0.5% |
| Oct 9, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −0.3% | 63 | −18.3% | – | – | −18.7% |
| Oct 2, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | +0.0% | 63 | +3.9% | −9.3% | −7.5% | −15.6% |
| Sep 25, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −5.4% | 54 | +7.6% | +1.6% | +3.0% | −9.2% |
| Sep 18, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −8.2% | 53 | +3.1% | −5.9% | −6.1% | −5.9% |
| Sep 11, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −16.5% | 43 | +10.0% | +26.7% | +24.5% | +10.0% |
| Sep 4, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −15.8% | 44 | +12.2% | +22.1% | +21.2% | −0.8% |
| Aug 28, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −6.2% | 56 | −10.3% | +5.5% | +5.8% | −11.6% |
| Aug 21, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −9.6% | 52 | +3.8% | +3.9% | +2.6% | −8.2% |
| Aug 14, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −3.0% | 66 | −6.9% | −2.7% | −0.7% | −14.5% |
| Aug 7, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −0.7% | 64 | +5.6% | −8.4% | −8.0% | −9.7% |
| Jul 31, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −7.5% | 55 | +9.7% | +12.0% | +9.0% | +2.3% |
| Jul 24, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −9.7% | 50 | +2.5% | +10.5% | +6.9% | −3.0% |
| Jul 17, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | +0.0% | 67 | −9.7% | +7.1% | +2.7% | −12.4% |
| Jul 10, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −8.8% | 58 | +10.1% | +11.6% | +9.2% | −3.6% |
| Jul 2, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −1.1% | 78 | −6.4% | −4.7% | −5.0% | −9.7% |
| Jun 26, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | +0.0% | 70 | +17.5% | +4.3% | +2.9% | +4.3% |
| Jun 18, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −4.2% | 66 | +5.7% | +21.2% | +21.8% | −0.9% |
| Jun 12, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −6.9% | 65 | +2.4% | +26.2% | +24.6% | +0.1% |
| Jun 5, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −9.5% | 64 | +2.8% | +23.9% | +22.3% | −4.2% |
| May 29, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | +0.0% | 80 | −3.4% | +17.9% | +19.7% | −7.5% |
| May 22, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | +0.0% | 84 | +15.3% | +11.6% | +13.0% | −4.6% |
| May 15, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | +0.0% | 86 | +7.3% | +17.2% | +15.1% | −1.1% |
| May 8, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −6.1% | 76 | +16.8% | +28.1% | +27.9% | +2.8% |
| May 1, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −18.2% | 60 | +14.8% | +65.9% | +60.7% | +1.4% |
| Apr 24, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −19.4% | 60 | +1.4% | +46.0% | +41.5% | +0.4% |
| Apr 17, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −24.2% | 55 | +6.4% | +44.7% | +40.6% | +1.0% |
| Apr 10, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −29.7% | 44 | +7.8% | +33.5% | +24.9% | +3.8% |
| Apr 2, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −26.3% | 52 | −4.6% | +10.9% | +1.1% | −4.6% |
| Mar 27, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −33.6% | 33 | +10.2% | +24.4% | +11.6% | +5.0% |
| Mar 20, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −26.4% | 48 | −9.8% | +4.1% | −5.2% | −9.8% |
| Mar 13, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −24.6% | 56 | −2.4% | −2.7% | −6.6% | −12.0% |
| Mar 6, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −25.4% | 55 | +1.2% | −1.9% | −0.1% | −10.9% |
| Feb 27, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −32.7% | 35 | +10.8% | −1.3% | +6.0% | −1.3% |
| Feb 20, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −32.8% | 28 | +0.1% | +9.6% | +15.3% | −4.7% |
| Feb 13, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −24.6% | 41 | −13.7% | +0.3% | +2.2% | −15.1% |
| Feb 6, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −28.0% | 28 | +4.8% | +3.6% | +5.4% | −11.1% |
| Jan 30, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −20.1% | 36 | −10.0% | −15.2% | −14.3% | −19.9% |
| Jan 23, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −18.6% | 38 | −1.8% | −20.0% | −19.0% | −20.0% |
| Jan 16, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −15.2% | 47 | −1.8% | −12.9% | −11.6% | −17.5% |
| Jan 9, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −14.6% | 49 | −0.7% | −12.2% | −12.2% | −18.1% |
| Jan 2, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −19.0% | 33 | +5.4% | −2.2% | −4.0% | −2.2% |
| Dec 26, 2025 | backfill | No clear edge | −14.9% | 44 | −3.4% | −2.6% | −3.4% | −4.8% |
| Dec 19, 2025 | backfill | No clear edge | −15.6% | 40 | −0.0% | −2.9% | −3.6% | −4.0% |
| Dec 12, 2025 | backfill | No clear edge | −13.4% | 42 | −2.5% | −0.4% | −2.5% | −6.4% |
| Dec 5, 2025 | backfill | No clear edge | −10.2% | 50 | −3.6% | −6.5% | −7.7% | −9.8% |
| Nov 28, 2025 | backfill | No clear edge | −14.1% | 37 | +4.6% | −1.7% | −2.7% | −3.5% |
| Nov 21, 2025 | backfill | No clear edge | −17.4% | 24 | +2.6% | +3.6% | −0.6% | +0.3% |
| Nov 14, 2025 | backfill | No clear edge | −7.3% | 41 | −10.9% | −9.4% | −10.7% | −10.9% |
| Nov 7, 2025 | backfill | No clear edge | −4.1% | 50 | −3.3% | −8.0% | −9.9% | −13.8% |