- 5 days
- −14.4%
- From 52-wk high
- −49.9%
- vs 200-day
- −20.2%
- RSI 14
- 42.8
- 1 month
- −14.2%
- Next earnings
- Mon Dec 14
Daily candles, 6 months
Today vs its past
Its current slide on top of its past 15%+ slides, and what followed charts that looked like today's.
| Next N sessions up | n | 5 | 10 | 20 | Median 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Own lookalikes | 3 | 33.3% | 33.3% | 33.3% | −9.7% |
| 50-stock pool | 15 | 46.7% | 46.7% | 53.3% | +5.6% |
| Baseline (any day) | all | 46.5% | 43.6% | 45.4% | −2.6% |
- ORCL's 4 rally runs since Nov 2024 started from -65% to -20% below the high, RSI 26-38. Today: -50%, RSI 43.
Latest shock vs similar shocks
7%+ one-day drops since Nov 2024
| Date | Drop | QQQ | Kind | Cause | Low after | Sessions to low | Back in |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2025 | −13.8% | −2.9% | −32.9% | 58 | 96 | ||
| Dec 11, 2025 | −10.8% | −0.3% | −38.6% | 37 | 116 | ||
| Jun 5, 2026 | −9.6% | −4.8% | −51.2% | 33 | not yet | ||
| Oct 14, 2026 | −8.8% | −2.0% | −12.3% | 6 | 11 | ||
| Nov 2, 2026 | −8.8% | −1.4% | −8.8% | 0 | not yet |
7%+ up days and rally runs
| Date | Gain | QQQ | Setup before | Cause | Next 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2025 | +7.2% | +0.6% | -16%, RSI 41 | +5.2% | |
| Apr 9, 2025 | +12.2% | +12.0% | -35%, RSI 28 | +8.0% | |
| Jun 12, 2025 | +13.3% | +0.2% | -8%, RSI 74 | +15.0% | |
| Jun 13, 2025 | +7.7% | −1.3% | 0%, RSI 85 | +9.4% | |
| Sep 10, 2025 | +35.9% | +0.0% | -6%, RSI 55 | −12.1% | |
| Feb 9, 2026 | +9.6% | +0.8% | -56%, RSI 27 | −4.6% | |
| Mar 11, 2026 | +9.2% | −0.0% | -54%, RSI 43 | −15.2% | |
| Apr 13, 2026 | +12.7% | +1.0% | -58%, RSI 38 | +24.6% | |
| May 29, 2026 | +10.8% | +0.4% | -37%, RSI 66 | −34.6% | |
| Jun 1, 2026 | +9.9% | +0.6% | -31%, RSI 75 | −40.9% | |
| Jul 30, 2026 | +8.3% | +3.3% | -64%, RSI 32 | +19.1% | |
| Aug 3, 2026 | +9.2% | +1.8% | -60%, RSI 44 | +5.1% | |
| Oct 28, 2026 | +10.7% | +0.6% | -53%, RSI 45 | – |
Rally runs (20%+ from a low)
| Low | High | Gain | Sessions | From high at low | RSI at low |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2025 | Jan 23, 2025 | +21.1% | 7 | −19.8% | 26 |
| Apr 21, 2025 | Sep 10, 2025 | +167.9% | 98 | −35.8% | 34 |
| Apr 9, 2026 | Jun 1, 2026 | +80.0% | 36 | −57.7% | 38 |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Sep 8, 2026 | +41.3% | 31 | −64.6% | 28 |
Calls on ORCL and what followed
Live = saved on the day. Backfill = the same rule re-run on past weeks with only the data known then.
| Date | Kind | Call | From high | RSI | Next 5 | Next 20 | vs SPY 20 | Worst in 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2026 | live | No clear edge | −49.9% | 43 | – | – | – | – |
| Oct 30, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −49.6% | 46 | – | – | – | −8.8% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −54.9% | 39 | +3.6% | – | – | −5.5% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −58.5% | 40 | −1.6% | – | – | −7.0% |
| Oct 9, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −54.2% | 49 | −9.3% | – | – | −15.7% |
| Oct 2, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −54.1% | 48 | −0.3% | −7.8% | −6.0% | −11.5% |
| Sep 25, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −55.8% | 41 | +3.8% | −7.6% | −6.2% | −8.1% |
| Sep 18, 2026 | backfill | Leans drop | −54.5% | 50 | −7.1% | −12.8% | −13.0% | −12.8% |
| Sep 11, 2026 | backfill | Leans drop | −53.7% | 51 | −1.8% | −5.6% | −7.7% | −11.8% |
| Sep 4, 2026 | backfill | Too few lookalikes | −51.1% | 61 | −8.8% | −10.3% | −11.1% | −16.5% |
| Aug 28, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −53.5% | 56 | +5.3% | −12.1% | −11.9% | −12.1% |
| Aug 21, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −54.9% | 53 | +3.0% | +1.4% | +0.2% | −4.2% |
| Aug 14, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −53.6% | 56 | −2.7% | −3.8% | −1.8% | −6.1% |
| Aug 7, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −54.7% | 57 | +2.4% | +8.0% | +8.4% | −3.9% |
| Jul 31, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −60.0% | 44 | +13.2% | +16.2% | +13.2% | +9.2% |
| Jul 24, 2026 | backfill | Too few lookalikes | −64.6% | 28 | +12.9% | +27.4% | +23.8% | +2.4% |
| Jul 17, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −61.1% | 29 | −9.0% | +19.1% | +14.6% | −9.0% |
| Jul 10, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −56.7% | 31 | −10.1% | +4.5% | +2.1% | −18.2% |
| Jul 2, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −56.9% | 27 | +0.6% | −7.1% | −7.4% | −17.7% |
| Jun 26, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −54.4% | 30 | −3.2% | −19.0% | −20.4% | −22.3% |
| Jun 18, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −43.4% | 43 | −19.4% | −33.9% | −33.3% | −33.9% |
| Jun 12, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −43.5% | 42 | −4.9% | −30.3% | −31.9% | −30.3% |
| Jun 5, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −34.4% | 56 | −13.8% | −33.7% | −35.4% | −34.4% |
| May 29, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −30.7% | 75 | −5.4% | −34.6% | −32.8% | −34.6% |
| May 22, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −41.0% | 60 | +29.2% | −14.0% | −12.7% | −14.0% |
| May 15, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −40.8% | 63 | −0.5% | −0.2% | −2.3% | −6.0% |
| May 8, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −39.8% | 70 | −1.5% | +8.1% | +7.9% | −7.4% |
| May 1, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −47.3% | 57 | +14.0% | +44.4% | +39.2% | +4.9% |
| Apr 24, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −46.8% | 59 | −0.8% | +10.8% | +6.4% | −6.9% |
| Apr 17, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −46.3% | 67 | −1.0% | +10.2% | +6.1% | −7.8% |
| Apr 10, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −57.6% | 38 | +26.8% | +41.9% | +33.3% | +12.7% |
| Apr 2, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −55.2% | 46 | −5.3% | +17.8% | +7.9% | −5.5% |
| Mar 27, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −57.3% | 37 | +4.2% | +24.3% | +11.5% | −0.9% |
| Mar 20, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −54.2% | 44 | −6.7% | +19.1% | +9.8% | −7.6% |
| Mar 13, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −52.6% | 48 | −3.5% | +0.7% | −3.2% | −10.8% |
| Mar 6, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −53.2% | 46 | +1.4% | −4.9% | −3.1% | −9.3% |
| Feb 27, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −55.5% | 38 | +5.2% | −3.9% | +3.4% | −3.9% |
| Feb 20, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −54.7% | 36 | −1.8% | +1.1% | +6.8% | −4.6% |
| Feb 13, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −51.0% | 43 | −11.8% | −2.6% | −0.7% | −11.8% |
| Feb 6, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −56.3% | 27 | +12.1% | +6.1% | +7.9% | −1.1% |
| Jan 30, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −49.7% | 31 | −13.2% | −9.3% | −8.5% | −17.1% |
| Jan 23, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −45.8% | 36 | −7.1% | −20.2% | −19.2% | −23.0% |
| Jan 16, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −41.5% | 43 | −4.5% | −19.4% | −18.2% | −28.6% |
| Jan 9, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −39.3% | 49 | −3.7% | −21.1% | −21.1% | −31.3% |
| Jan 2, 2026 | backfill | Leans drop | −40.3% | 43 | +1.7% | −18.0% | −19.8% | −18.0% |
| Dec 26, 2025 | backfill | Leans drop | −39.6% | 44 | −2.7% | −11.4% | −12.2% | −11.9% |
| Dec 19, 2025 | backfill | Leans rally | −41.4% | 39 | +1.8% | −9.2% | −9.9% | −9.2% |
| Dec 12, 2025 | backfill | Leans rally | −42.0% | 31 | +1.1% | +6.8% | +4.7% | −6.1% |
| Dec 5, 2025 | backfill | Leans rally | −33.6% | 44 | −12.7% | −11.0% | −12.1% | −18.0% |
| Nov 28, 2025 | backfill | No clear edge | −38.4% | 31 | +7.7% | −3.3% | −4.2% | −11.6% |
| Nov 21, 2025 | backfill | Leans rally | −39.4% | 25 | +1.1% | −0.2% | −4.4% | −10.2% |
| Nov 14, 2025 | backfill | Too few lookalikes | −32.0% | 30 | −10.8% | −17.0% | −18.3% | −17.0% |
| Nov 7, 2025 | backfill | Too few lookalikes | −27.0% | 33 | −6.9% | −7.8% | −9.7% | −17.7% |