- 5 days
- +10.1%
- From 52-wk high
- +0.0%
- vs 200-day
- +29.5%
- RSI 14
- 76.6
- 1 month
- +22.5%
- Next earnings
- –
Daily candles, 6 months
Today vs its past
Its current slide on top of its past 15%+ slides, and what followed charts that looked like today's.
| Next N sessions up | n | 5 | 10 | 20 | Median 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Own lookalikes | 2 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.0% | −0.1% |
| 50-stock pool | 89 | 50.6% | 64.0% | 62.9% | +1.8% |
| Baseline (any day) | all | 56.2% | 53.1% | 57.3% | +1.7% |
- LLY's 3 rally runs since Nov 2024 started from -34% to -23% below the high, RSI 24-33. Today: 0%, RSI 77.
- Only 2 lookalikes in its own history, so the large-cap pool carries the read. That pool mixes in other stocks.
7%+ one-day drops since Nov 2024
| Date | Drop | QQQ | Kind | Cause | Low after | Sessions to low | Back in |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2025 | −11.7% | +1.3% | −30.3% | 68 | 129 | ||
| Aug 7, 2025 | −14.1% | +0.3% | −16.2% | 1 | 23 | ||
| Feb 5, 2026 | −7.8% | −1.4% | −23.0% | 57 | 78 |
7%+ up days and rally runs
| Date | Gain | QQQ | Setup before | Cause | Next 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2025 | +14.3% | −0.0% | -23%, RSI 38 | −9.6% | |
| Oct 1, 2025 | +8.2% | +0.5% | -18%, RSI 58 | −1.4% | |
| Feb 4, 2026 | +10.3% | −1.7% | -10%, RSI 39 | −11.0% | |
| Apr 30, 2026 | +9.8% | +0.9% | -23%, RSI 33 | +18.4% | |
| Jun 26, 2026 | +7.1% | −1.4% | -3%, RSI 60 | −0.9% |
Rally runs (20%+ from a low)
| Low | High | Gain | Sessions | From high at low | RSI at low |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2025 | Apr 30, 2025 | +24.7% | 13 | −24.7% | 32 |
| Aug 8, 2025 | Nov 25, 2025 | +78.1% | 76 | −34.5% | 24 |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Nov 4, 2026 (ongoing) | +67.1% | 131 | −23.2% | 33 |
Calls on LLY and what followed
Live = saved on the day. Backfill = the same rule re-run on past weeks with only the data known then.
| Date | Kind | Call | From high | RSI | Next 5 | Next 20 | vs SPY 20 | Worst in 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2026 | live | No clear edge | +0.0% | 77 | – | – | – | – |
| Oct 30, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | +0.0% | 78 | – | – | – | −0.6% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −2.5% | 62 | +11.3% | – | – | +0.4% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −1.8% | 69 | +1.3% | – | – | −1.3% |
| Oct 9, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −7.9% | 54 | +6.6% | – | – | −1.1% |
| Oct 2, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −10.7% | 43 | +3.2% | +24.0% | +25.8% | +0.0% |
| Sep 25, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −7.6% | 56 | −3.4% | +7.6% | +9.1% | −3.4% |
| Sep 18, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −10.0% | 47 | +2.6% | +9.0% | +8.8% | −0.9% |
| Sep 11, 2026 | backfill | Leans drop | −12.9% | 36 | +3.3% | +5.7% | +3.6% | +1.8% |
| Sep 4, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −10.2% | 41 | −1.0% | −0.5% | −1.4% | −2.9% |
| Aug 28, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −8.3% | 46 | −2.1% | +0.9% | +1.1% | −5.0% |
| Aug 21, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −1.9% | 60 | −6.4% | −7.2% | −8.5% | −11.1% |
| Aug 14, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −4.3% | 50 | +6.4% | −3.5% | −1.6% | −5.5% |
| Aug 7, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −4.0% | 54 | −0.3% | −2.9% | −2.5% | −2.9% |
| Jul 31, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −7.0% | 46 | +3.2% | +2.4% | −0.6% | −2.9% |
| Jul 24, 2026 | backfill | Leans drop | −3.2% | 57 | −3.9% | +5.1% | +1.5% | −6.7% |
| Jul 17, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −4.6% | 55 | +1.4% | +0.2% | −4.2% | −5.4% |
| Jul 10, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −3.8% | 57 | −0.8% | −0.2% | −2.7% | −6.1% |
| Jul 2, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −1.3% | 68 | −2.1% | −5.4% | −5.7% | −5.5% |
| Jun 26, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | +0.0% | 72 | −0.7% | −0.9% | −2.3% | −5.1% |
| Jun 18, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −5.4% | 54 | +10.0% | +4.4% | +5.0% | +0.3% |
| Jun 12, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −2.4% | 63 | −2.7% | +1.7% | +0.1% | −3.0% |
| Jun 5, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | +0.0% | 68 | +0.1% | +9.2% | +7.6% | −2.9% |
| May 29, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −1.9% | 70 | +2.4% | +11.3% | +13.1% | −3.7% |
| May 22, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −3.7% | 69 | +1.6% | +4.0% | +5.3% | −0.1% |
| May 15, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −9.2% | 61 | +6.0% | +12.4% | +10.3% | −1.7% |
| May 8, 2026 | backfill | Leans drop | −14.4% | 52 | +6.1% | +21.4% | +21.2% | +2.0% |
| May 1, 2026 | backfill | Leans drop | −13.1% | 58 | −1.5% | +12.5% | +7.3% | −1.5% |
| Apr 24, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −20.2% | 38 | +9.0% | +20.7% | +16.2% | −3.7% |
| Apr 17, 2026 | backfill | Leans drop | −16.3% | 47 | −4.6% | +8.6% | +4.5% | −8.2% |
| Apr 10, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −15.2% | 48 | −1.3% | +1.0% | −7.6% | −9.4% |
| Apr 2, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −15.6% | 46 | +0.4% | +3.0% | −6.9% | −9.0% |
| Mar 27, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −20.7% | 29 | +5.6% | −1.1% | −13.9% | −1.1% |
| Mar 20, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −18.2% | 31 | −3.1% | +1.5% | −7.8% | −3.1% |
| Mar 13, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −11.1% | 43 | −8.0% | −5.6% | −9.5% | −10.8% |
| Mar 6, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −10.6% | 43 | −0.5% | −6.4% | −4.7% | −11.3% |
| Feb 27, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −5.1% | 52 | −5.9% | −16.5% | −9.2% | −16.5% |
| Feb 20, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −8.9% | 44 | +4.2% | −10.2% | −4.5% | −10.2% |
| Feb 13, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −6.1% | 50 | +1.8% | −4.9% | −3.0% | −6.0% |
| Feb 6, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −4.7% | 51 | −1.6% | −4.5% | −2.8% | −6.9% |
| Jan 30, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −6.6% | 46 | +2.0% | −1.7% | −0.9% | −3.2% |
| Jan 23, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −4.1% | 52 | −2.6% | −0.4% | +0.6% | −5.7% |
| Jan 16, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −6.4% | 46 | +2.3% | −0.1% | +1.2% | −3.4% |
| Jan 9, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −4.2% | 53 | −2.4% | −1.8% | −1.8% | −5.7% |
| Jan 2, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −2.7% | 64 | −1.6% | −3.4% | −5.1% | −5.2% |
| Dec 26, 2025 | backfill | No clear edge | −2.9% | 64 | −3.4% | −3.5% | −4.3% | −4.2% |
| Dec 19, 2025 | backfill | No clear edge | −3.5% | 64 | +0.7% | +0.7% | −0.0% | −3.6% |
| Dec 12, 2025 | backfill | No clear edge | −7.4% | 58 | +4.3% | +4.8% | +2.8% | +1.4% |
| Dec 5, 2025 | backfill | No clear edge | −9.0% | 54 | +1.7% | +5.3% | +4.1% | −2.8% |
| Nov 28, 2025 | backfill | Leans rally | −3.1% | 74 | −6.1% | +0.3% | −0.6% | −8.7% |
| Nov 21, 2025 | backfill | No clear edge | +0.0% | 83 | −0.2% | +1.6% | −2.6% | −7.3% |
| Nov 14, 2025 | backfill | No clear edge | +0.0% | 83 | +3.4% | +3.6% | +2.3% | −4.2% |
| Nov 7, 2025 | backfill | No clear edge | −1.4% | 73 | +11.1% | +8.1% | +6.2% | +4.6% |