- 5 days
- −11.1%
- From 52-wk high
- −28.1%
- vs 200-day
- −14.9%
- RSI 14
- 30.2
- 1 month
- −16.9%
- Next earnings
- Wed Feb 3
Daily candles, 6 months
Today vs its past
Its current slide on top of its past 15%+ slides, and what followed charts that looked like today's.
| Next N sessions up | n | 5 | 10 | 20 | Median 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Own lookalikes | 1 | 0.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | +4.1% |
| 50-stock pool | 62 | 58.1% | 56.5% | 74.2% | +6.4% |
| Baseline (any day) | all | 56.0% | 58.5% | 58.9% | +2.6% |
- GOOGL's 2 rally runs since Nov 2024 started from -30% to -20% below the high, RSI 25-29. Today: -28%, RSI 30.
- Only 1 lookalike in its own history, so the large-cap pool carries the read. That pool mixes in other stocks.
- AI-spending shocks (MSFT Jan 2026, META Oct 2025) bottomed about 100 sessions later and ended at a later earnings report that showed AI revenue speeding up. GOOGL's next report is Feb 3.
Latest shock vs similar shocks
7%+ one-day drops since Nov 2024
| Date | Drop | QQQ | Kind | Cause | Low after | Sessions to low | Back in |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2025 | −7.3% | +0.5% | AI spend | Q4 2024: Cloud revenue miss plus a $75B capex plan. Tariff crash followed. | −29.8% | 43 | 138 |
| May 7, 2025 | −7.3% | +0.4% | One-time | Apple exec testified Safari searches fell for the first time (AI chatbots). | −7.3% | 0 | 6 |
| Jul 23, 2026 | −7.1% | −1.9% | AI spend | Q2 2026: capex raised to $195-205B, first negative free cash flow as a public company. | −7.1% | 0 | 7 |
| Oct 29, 2026 | −12.6% | −1.4% | AI spend | Q3 2026: net profit -25% y/y, negative free cash flow, rising AI costs despite Cloud +103%. | −14.1% | 2 | not yet |
7%+ up days and rally runs
| Date | Gain | QQQ | Setup before | Cause | Next 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2025 | +9.7% | +12.0% | -30%, RSI 29 | 90-day tariff pause (market-wide; QQQ +12%). | −2.8% |
| Sep 3, 2025 | +9.1% | +0.8% | -1%, RSI 70 | Antitrust remedies ruling went easier than feared. | +6.3% |
| Apr 30, 2026 | +10.0% | +0.9% | -0%, RSI 71 | Q1 2026: Google Cloud +63%, backlog about $460B. Best month since 2004. | −1.2% |
Rally runs (20%+ from a low)
| Low | High | Gain | Sessions | From high at low | RSI at low |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2025 | Feb 2, 2026 | +138.2% | 205 | −29.8% | 29 |
| Mar 30, 2026 | May 13, 2026 | +47.2% | 31 | −20.4% | 25 |
Calls on GOOGL and what followed
Live = saved on the day. Backfill = the same rule re-run on past weeks with only the data known then.
| Date | Kind | Call | From high | RSI | Next 5 | Next 20 | vs SPY 20 | Worst in 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2026 | live | Leans rally | −28.1% | 30 | – | – | – | – |
| Oct 30, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −30.4% | 21 | – | – | – | −0.3% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −20.4% | 31 | −12.6% | – | – | −12.9% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −15.3% | 44 | −6.0% | – | – | −18.1% |
| Oct 9, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −12.5% | 56 | −3.1% | – | – | −20.7% |
| Oct 2, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −14.6% | 50 | +2.4% | −18.5% | −16.7% | −18.5% |
| Sep 25, 2026 | backfill | Leans drop | −14.5% | 50 | −0.1% | −6.9% | −5.4% | −6.9% |
| Sep 18, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −13.1% | 55 | −1.6% | −2.6% | −2.8% | −3.4% |
| Sep 11, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −15.8% | 47 | +3.3% | +3.9% | +1.8% | −0.2% |
| Sep 4, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −15.8% | 45 | +3.2% | +2.4% | +1.5% | −2.3% |
| Aug 28, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −13.9% | 49 | −2.3% | −1.0% | −0.8% | −4.5% |
| Aug 21, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −14.3% | 47 | +0.5% | +3.0% | +1.7% | −4.0% |
| Aug 14, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −14.0% | 47 | −0.3% | +1.1% | +3.1% | −4.3% |
| Aug 7, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −11.9% | 51 | −2.4% | −4.4% | −4.0% | −5.4% |
| Jul 31, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −11.5% | 54 | −0.5% | −2.7% | −5.7% | −4.3% |
| Jul 24, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −20.5% | 32 | +11.4% | +7.8% | +4.2% | +2.1% |
| Jul 17, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −13.8% | 42 | −7.8% | −0.3% | −4.7% | −8.4% |
| Jul 10, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −11.2% | 47 | −2.9% | −0.8% | −3.2% | −11.1% |
| Jul 2, 2026 | backfill | Leans drop | −10.6% | 50 | −0.8% | −1.1% | −1.4% | −11.7% |
| Jun 26, 2026 | backfill | Leans drop | −16.2% | 33 | +8.6% | −3.2% | −4.6% | −5.8% |
| Jun 18, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −8.5% | 49 | −8.3% | −4.4% | −3.7% | −8.3% |
| Jun 12, 2026 | backfill | Leans drop | −10.6% | 42 | −2.8% | −0.0% | −1.7% | −6.2% |
| Jun 5, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −8.5% | 46 | −2.3% | −0.3% | −2.0% | −8.4% |
| May 29, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −5.5% | 53 | −3.1% | −7.0% | −5.2% | −11.2% |
| May 22, 2026 | backfill | Leans drop | −4.9% | 58 | −1.7% | −9.6% | −8.2% | −9.6% |
| May 15, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −1.5% | 70 | −3.5% | −6.9% | −9.0% | −10.1% |
| May 8, 2026 | backfill | Leans drop | +0.0% | 84 | −1.0% | −9.3% | −9.5% | −10.4% |
| May 1, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | +0.0% | 82 | +3.9% | −2.4% | −7.7% | −2.4% |
| Apr 24, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | +0.0% | 69 | +12.0% | +11.2% | +6.8% | +1.6% |
| Apr 17, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −0.5% | 73 | +0.8% | +16.1% | +12.0% | −2.7% |
| Apr 10, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −7.6% | 62 | +7.7% | +26.3% | +17.8% | +1.3% |
| Apr 2, 2026 | backfill | Leans drop | −13.9% | 48 | +7.3% | +30.4% | +20.5% | +1.4% |
| Mar 27, 2026 | backfill | Leans drop | −20.1% | 25 | +9.3% | +27.7% | +14.9% | −0.3% |
| Mar 20, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −12.4% | 41 | −8.9% | +12.1% | +2.8% | −9.1% |
| Mar 13, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −12.0% | 41 | −0.4% | +6.3% | +2.4% | −9.5% |
| Mar 6, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −13.1% | 35 | +1.3% | +0.6% | +2.3% | −8.3% |
| Feb 27, 2026 | backfill | Leans drop | −9.3% | 45 | −4.2% | −11.9% | −4.6% | −11.9% |
| Feb 20, 2026 | backfill | Leans drop | −8.4% | 46 | −1.0% | −4.4% | +1.3% | −5.2% |
| Feb 13, 2026 | backfill | Too few lookalikes | −11.0% | 32 | +1.9% | +0.0% | +1.9% | −2.4% |
| Feb 6, 2026 | backfill | Leans drop | −6.1% | 45 | −5.3% | −5.0% | −3.3% | −7.5% |
| Jan 30, 2026 | backfill | Leans drop | −0.1% | 66 | −4.5% | −9.3% | −8.5% | −10.6% |
| Jan 23, 2026 | backfill | Leans drop | −2.4% | 58 | +3.1% | −5.0% | −4.0% | −7.9% |
| Jan 16, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −1.8% | 64 | +1.0% | −8.5% | −7.2% | −8.5% |
| Jan 9, 2026 | backfill | Leans drop | +0.0% | 69 | +0.4% | −1.3% | −1.3% | −2.0% |
| Jan 2, 2026 | backfill | Leans drop | −2.5% | 59 | +4.3% | +9.1% | +7.3% | −0.3% |
| Dec 26, 2025 | backfill | No clear edge | −3.0% | 58 | +1.0% | +6.7% | +6.0% | −0.2% |
| Dec 19, 2025 | backfill | No clear edge | −5.0% | 54 | +2.1% | +6.9% | +6.2% | +0.9% |
| Dec 12, 2025 | backfill | No clear edge | −4.3% | 56 | −0.7% | +8.6% | +6.6% | −4.1% |
| Dec 5, 2025 | backfill | Leans drop | −0.7% | 70 | −3.7% | −2.1% | −3.3% | −7.6% |
| Nov 28, 2025 | backfill | No clear edge | −1.0% | 74 | +0.3% | −2.0% | −3.0% | −7.3% |
| Nov 21, 2025 | backfill | No clear edge | +0.0% | 68 | +5.1% | +3.4% | −0.8% | −0.9% |
| Nov 14, 2025 | backfill | Leans drop | −5.1% | 56 | +8.4% | +11.6% | +10.3% | +2.8% |
| Nov 7, 2025 | backfill | Leans rally | −2.1% | 65 | −0.9% | +12.6% | +10.7% | −0.9% |