- 5 days
- −9.6%
- From 52-wk high
- −13.6%
- vs 200-day
- +42.4%
- RSI 14
- 45.3
- 1 month
- −13.6%
- Next earnings
- –
Daily candles, 6 months
Today vs its past
Its current slide on top of its past 15%+ slides, and what followed charts that looked like today's.
| Next N sessions up | n | 5 | 10 | 20 | Median 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Own lookalikes | 2 | 0.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | +14.4% |
| 50-stock pool | 30 | 63.3% | 70.0% | 73.3% | +7.9% |
| Baseline (any day) | all | 57.7% | 58.5% | 60.8% | +4.1% |
- CRWD's 7 rally runs since Nov 2024 started from -37% to -18% below the high, RSI 26-53. Today: -14%, RSI 45.
- Only 2 lookalikes in its own history, so the large-cap pool carries the read. That pool mixes in other stocks.
Latest shock vs similar shocks
7%+ one-day drops since Nov 2024
| Date | Drop | QQQ | Kind | Cause | Low after | Sessions to low | Back in |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2024 | −7.2% | −3.6% | −9.3% | 15 | 22 | ||
| Mar 10, 2025 | −7.4% | −3.9% | −7.4% | 0 | 3 | ||
| Apr 4, 2025 | −7.4% | −6.2% | −7.4% | 0 | 4 | ||
| Feb 23, 2026 | −9.8% | −1.2% | −9.9% | 1 | 7 | ||
| Apr 9, 2026 | −7.5% | +0.7% | −11.1% | 1 | 8 | ||
| Oct 16, 2026 | −7.0% | −2.5% | −7.0% | 2 | 6 |
7%+ up days and rally runs
| Date | Gain | QQQ | Setup before | Cause | Next 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2025 | +9.3% | +1.5% | -5%, RSI 58 | −3.5% | |
| Apr 9, 2025 | +16.3% | +12.0% | -29%, RSI 38 | +13.4% | |
| Apr 24, 2025 | +7.3% | +2.8% | -15%, RSI 56 | +7.3% | |
| Sep 18, 2025 | +12.8% | +0.9% | -13%, RSI 58 | −4.1% | |
| May 7, 2026 | +8.0% | −0.1% | -16%, RSI 62 | +32.7% | |
| May 29, 2026 | +8.9% | +0.4% | -0%, RSI 79 | +1.6% | |
| Jul 14, 2026 | +12.1% | +1.1% | -6%, RSI 58 | +5.3% | |
| Aug 27, 2026 | +20.5% | +1.4% | -16%, RSI 42 | +10.6% | |
| Sep 14, 2026 | +13.9% | −0.8% | -11%, RSI 50 | +11.7% | |
| Oct 23, 2026 | +8.2% | −0.0% | -15%, RSI 46 | – |
Rally runs (20%+ from a low)
| Low | High | Gain | Sessions | From high at low | RSI at low |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2025 | Mar 25, 2025 | +24.6% | 11 | −32.2% | 26 |
| Apr 4, 2025 | Jul 3, 2025 | +59.8% | 61 | −29.4% | 37 |
| Sep 4, 2025 | Nov 10, 2025 | +35.2% | 47 | −19.8% | 39 |
| Feb 24, 2026 | Mar 11, 2026 | +26.2% | 11 | −37.2% | 28 |
| Mar 27, 2026 | Jun 1, 2026 | +111.6% | 44 | −33.7% | 35 |
| Jun 9, 2026 | Aug 13, 2026 | +39.9% | 45 | −17.5% | 53 |
| Aug 25, 2026 | Oct 6, 2026 | +50.4% | 29 | −17.8% | 39 |
Calls on CRWD and what followed
Live = saved on the day. Backfill = the same rule re-run on past weeks with only the data known then.
| Date | Kind | Call | From high | RSI | Next 5 | Next 20 | vs SPY 20 | Worst in 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2026 | live | Leans rally | −13.6% | 45 | – | – | – | – |
| Oct 30, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −10.2% | 50 | – | – | – | −3.8% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −7.6% | 56 | −2.8% | – | – | −6.4% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −18.5% | 39 | +13.3% | – | – | −0.0% |
| Oct 9, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −1.4% | 65 | −17.3% | – | – | −17.3% |
| Oct 2, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | +0.0% | 69 | +1.9% | −7.3% | −5.5% | −15.8% |
| Sep 25, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −3.9% | 62 | +7.1% | +2.2% | +3.6% | −9.8% |
| Sep 18, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −3.3% | 60 | +6.1% | −4.3% | −4.5% | −4.3% |
| Sep 11, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −10.5% | 50 | +15.0% | +33.0% | +30.9% | +13.9% |
| Sep 4, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −7.7% | 53 | +10.5% | +28.0% | +27.1% | −3.0% |
| Aug 28, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −4.2% | 58 | −2.4% | +18.7% | +18.9% | −6.9% |
| Aug 21, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −14.9% | 43 | +13.8% | +29.9% | +28.6% | −3.4% |
| Aug 14, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −3.8% | 61 | −11.5% | +8.5% | +10.5% | −14.6% |
| Aug 7, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | +0.0% | 67 | +1.2% | −0.6% | −0.2% | −13.5% |
| Jul 31, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −9.4% | 54 | +12.3% | +14.4% | +11.4% | −2.9% |
| Jul 24, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −13.0% | 47 | +4.1% | +4.7% | +1.1% | −2.1% |
| Jul 17, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −3.6% | 63 | −9.7% | +6.8% | +2.4% | −11.7% |
| Jul 10, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −6.1% | 57 | +8.5% | +14.6% | +12.1% | −4.2% |
| Jul 2, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −0.8% | 72 | −3.5% | −1.6% | −1.9% | −7.5% |
| Jun 26, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −10.4% | 61 | +13.8% | +2.8% | +1.4% | +2.8% |
| Jun 18, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −12.4% | 58 | +2.4% | +15.9% | +16.6% | −1.7% |
| Jun 12, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −12.7% | 59 | −1.1% | +23.5% | +21.8% | −1.4% |
| Jun 5, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −14.2% | 58 | +1.8% | +16.0% | +14.4% | −3.9% |
| May 29, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | +0.0% | 84 | −8.2% | +1.6% | +3.4% | −11.8% |
| May 22, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | +0.0% | 87 | +17.9% | +2.6% | +4.0% | −2.8% |
| May 15, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | +0.0% | 83 | +11.7% | +16.6% | +14.5% | +3.8% |
| May 8, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −5.3% | 74 | +12.6% | +24.8% | +24.6% | +2.7% |
| May 1, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −18.3% | 60 | +15.8% | +71.7% | +66.4% | +2.7% |
| Apr 24, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −19.6% | 59 | +1.7% | +48.1% | +43.6% | −0.5% |
| Apr 17, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −24.0% | 56 | +5.7% | +40.1% | +36.0% | +2.2% |
| Apr 10, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −32.0% | 41 | +11.9% | +39.2% | +30.7% | +5.1% |
| Apr 2, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −28.4% | 47 | −5.0% | +14.2% | +4.3% | −5.0% |
| Mar 27, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −33.7% | 35 | +7.9% | +23.0% | +10.2% | +2.6% |
| Mar 20, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −26.6% | 45 | −9.6% | +5.9% | −3.4% | −9.6% |
| Mar 13, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −20.8% | 60 | −7.4% | −9.0% | −12.8% | −16.3% |
| Mar 6, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −23.1% | 56 | +3.0% | −7.1% | −5.3% | −13.8% |
| Feb 27, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −33.3% | 38 | +15.3% | −0.6% | +6.7% | −0.6% |
| Feb 20, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −30.3% | 36 | −4.3% | +5.2% | +10.9% | −9.9% |
| Feb 13, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −22.9% | 47 | −18.5% | −1.3% | +0.5% | −18.5% |
| Feb 6, 2026 | backfill | Leans rally | −29.1% | 32 | +8.6% | +9.8% | +11.6% | −11.4% |
| Jan 30, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −20.8% | 38 | −10.4% | −12.8% | −12.0% | −20.7% |
| Jan 23, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −18.8% | 40 | −2.4% | −22.6% | −21.6% | −22.6% |
| Jan 16, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −18.6% | 37 | +3.2% | −8.7% | −7.4% | −16.9% |
| Jan 9, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −15.6% | 44 | −3.6% | −13.3% | −13.3% | −19.9% |
| Jan 2, 2026 | backfill | No clear edge | −18.6% | 30 | +3.8% | −3.2% | −5.0% | −3.2% |
| Dec 26, 2025 | backfill | Leans drop | −13.7% | 40 | −5.1% | −0.9% | −1.7% | −8.0% |
| Dec 19, 2025 | backfill | No clear edge | −13.7% | 39 | −1.1% | −7.4% | −8.1% | −8.0% |
| Dec 12, 2025 | backfill | No clear edge | −9.5% | 45 | −4.7% | −7.3% | −9.3% | −10.1% |
| Dec 5, 2025 | backfill | No clear edge | −8.2% | 48 | −1.4% | −10.5% | −11.7% | −11.4% |
| Nov 28, 2025 | backfill | No clear edge | −8.7% | 47 | +0.6% | −6.5% | −7.5% | −7.7% |
| Nov 21, 2025 | backfill | No clear edge | −12.0% | 38 | +2.7% | −1.5% | −5.8% | −4.2% |
| Nov 14, 2025 | backfill | Leans drop | −3.6% | 56 | −8.7% | −9.3% | −10.6% | −9.3% |
| Nov 7, 2025 | backfill | Leans rally | −2.2% | 62 | −0.4% | −4.6% | −6.4% | −9.1% |